Trump Vs Harris 2024 Polls 270 To Win. Vice president harris and former president donald trump are nearly tied in seven states critical to the presidential race, an npr analysis of polling averages shows. Right now the leads in the swing states are so small that it's impossible to know who is really ahead.

This is the first release of our model estimating 2024 presidential election votes in every state, based upon nearly 100,000 recent interviews of registered voters. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is.